Posted by: Mike | April 18, 2008

Who’s More Electable – Clinton or Obama?

Who stands a better chance at beating John McCain in November – Clinton or Obama? This is a question that has been debated since the beginning of the primary elections. Both Clinton and Obama bring different goodies to the table of the general election. Both appeal to different demographics, and both have different strengths and weaknesses. However, one of them is more electable than the other. If you want to know which one, you’ll just have to read on… to the next line.

Clinton is more electable than Obama. There, I said it. Are you happy now? You probably aren’t – after all, the Internet is full of Obama supporters, and you’re probably one of them. To be sure, Clinton has her negatives. Many Americans consider her to be dishonest. She can’t turn out the youth vote like Obama, and her fundraising abilities – though unprecedented compared to fundraising in previous elections- still come up short compared to Obama.

Despite her problems, Clinton is still the candidate with more reliable voters. The youth vote is terribly volatile; you never know whether young people will show up on election day, or whether they’ll stay at home. Clinton’s demographic of older people (particularly women) is far more reliable. Despite Clinton’s shortcomings when it comes to fundraising, consider the fact that Obama stated in a questionnaire that he would be willing to accept a publicly financed campaign if McCain would do the same. This means that each candidate would get $80 million taxpayer dollars to spend on their campaign. It would also mean that neither candidate would be able to accept private donations, essentially crippling Obama’s fundraising advantage. If Obama walks away from his pledge in the questionnaire, he will be branded as a dishonest flip-flopper by Republicans. We all know how that worked out in 2004…

Clinton is also better equipped to win major swing states. She trounced Obama in Ohio, despite being outspent 3 to 1. She beat him in Florida by a huge margin, though no campaigning was allowed in that state. She does well among working class “Reagan Democrats” who might go for McCain if the “elitist Obama” were nominated. Lastly, we don’t have to worry about Clinton’s pastor being integrated into Republican attack ads come November. Like it or not, Reverend Wright (Obama’s notorious pastor) is a huge stumbling block. Many swing voters anxious about electing the first African American president will find an excuse to vote for McCain when they hear Reverend Wright’s, “GOD DAMN AMERICA!!!” blasting from their televisions and radios every few hours. It isn’t right, it isn’t fair – but it is politics. And the Clintons are masters of politics.

MR

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Responses

  1. Dear Mr. (Knight)
    I agree with virtually everything you’ve stated. I’m a registered Republican from Arizona who would either vote for McCain or Obama depending on whom McCain is up against. I do not want to want to convince you that either would be a good choice. My father told me a long time ago “vote Democrat if you want high taxes and good government or vote Republican if you want low taxes and a strong military.” I was eighteen; he didn’t get into the whole trade deficit/global warming/corporate corruption/welfare-from-my-own-pocket/etc. He’s a Democrat. I’ve always voted Republican, though my last few votes and what they produced have not pleased me. Wow, I really degress. I’m thirty-four now, and sometimes we chat politics. He always asks me why, after all of this, I don’t vote Democrat now and didn’t then. And my answer is always pretty much the same: the Dems have the greater purpose, but they seem to always implode when they can’t agree with themselves. J McCain is not a conservative, yet the conservitives are now behind him. It just seems that the Reps are always united, while the Dems tear each other apart. I mean, everyone was so upset about the Florida election in 2000 and that Bush lost the popular vote and I’ve listened for years about how the Supreme Court bestowed him the presidency. Didn’t agree, but still had to listen to it. Now Mrs. Hillary wants to win by similiar tactics and it just blows me away. Here I was, ready to finally vote Democrat but here the Dems are, ripping each other apart and trying to deny a popular vote. I know that Florida and MI would make this a whole different race between our candidates. but wasn’t it the Dems who took away their delegates? After all the damage that has been done, shouldn’t we all be looking to win a general election by now? I honestly disagree that Clinton is more electable at this point simply because people will make hay with the process that put her forward, myself included.

  2. That quote from your father was very interesting; I hadn’t thought about it like that. From what I know, it was the Republican- controlled state legislature that opted to move up Florida’s primary, so it isn’t entirely the fault of the Democrats. I know that Hillary has played rough in this primary election; that has certainly turned off many voters. But I am curious- you said that you would be inclined to support either McCain or Obama? This intrigues me, as those two candidates could not be farther apart on most issues (just look at how they stand on the war). Hillary, on the other hand, is very similar to Obama in her positions. It just seems a bit odd that so many people I’ve talked to are split between McCain and Obama, when they are so different in their views.

  3. Liberal Blogosphere’s Loss of Any Legitimacy
    Regarding election analysis, I have consistently found myself agreeing with the likes of Michelle Malkin, Karl Rove, Ann Coulter and Lou Dobbs. That really bothers me, but this is mainly because of the Dr. Strangelove obsession that white and black, elitist Leftist activists have with Senator Barack Hussein Obama. This group via the leftist and liberal blogospheres have established Senator Barack Hussein Obama as The Boy in the Bubble. Nothing bad can ever be said about him. No tough questions are allowed. All his negatives are not negatives but a product of his being black in America.

    The Clintonista Post


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